College Basketball Betting - Analyzing the Sun Belt Conference
February 12, 2009
Only four of the Sun Belt Conference's 13 teams had winning records against the spread, a trend college basketball betting followers will be watching this season. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:
EAST DIVISION
MIDDLE TENNESSEE (17-15 SU, 16-12-1 ATS, 11-16-1 O/U): Desmond Yates (16.0 PPG) heads a cast of five returning starters with legitimate Sun Belt title aspirations.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-6
Home Underdog:3-1
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:8-4
Neutral Site:1-1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Blue Raiders were 15-7 ATS in conference games last season.
Sports Betting Angle: Middle Tennessee was 11-6-1 as an underdog last season.
SOUTH ALABAMA (26-7 SU, 18-10 ATS, 15-13 O/U): Brandon Davis (10.8 PPG, 6.2 RPG) and Domonic Tilford (12.5 PPG) give the Jags a dependable inside/outside game.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-5
Home Underdog:0-0
Away Favorite:6-2
Away Underdog:3-0
Neutral site:2-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Jaguars were 9-2 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: South Alabama was 12-2 ATS on two days or less rest.
WESTERN KENTUCKY (29-7 SU, 20-13 ATS, 14-18 O/U): Four starters are gone so don't expect a repeat of last season's Sweet 16 squad.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-6
Home Underdog:0-0
Away Favorite:6-5
Away Underdog:0-2
Neutral Site:9-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Hilltoppers were 9-0 ATS on neutral courts.
Sports Betting Angle: Western Kentucky was 14-6 ATS on three or more days rest.
FLORIDAATLANTIC (15-18 SU, 12-14 ATS, 12-11-3 O/U): New Head Coach Mike Jarvis has a strong unit, paced by Carlos Monroe (15.4 PPG, 9.5 RPG)
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-2
Home Underdog:2-2
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:6-6
Neutral Site:0-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Owls were 1-5 ATS in non-conference games.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 7-2-1 in Florida Atlantic home games.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (9-20 SU, 12-13 ATS, 7-17-1 O/U): Alex Galindo (13.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG) and Russell Hicks (12.5 PPG, 6.1 RPG) have FIU looking for a winning season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-2
Home Underdog:1-5
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:6-6
Neutral Site:0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Panthers were 1-5 as a home underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 14-4-1 in Florida International conference games.
TROY (12-19 SU, 8-15 ATS, 13-10 O/U): MississippiState transfer Richard Delk is the best of an undermanned squad.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-4
Home Underdog:2-1
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:4-8
Neutral Site:0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Trojans were 7-13 ATS in Sun Belt games.
Sports Betting Angle: Troy was 4-8 as an away underdog.
WEST DIVISION
ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK (20-11 SU, 12-15 ATS, 10-17 O/U): Five starters are back on the first 20-win ALR team in more than a decade.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-6
Home Underdog:0-1
Away Favorite:3-2
Away Underdog:3-5
Neutral Site:1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Trojans were 3-7 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Arkansas-Little Rock was 4-10 ATS in games following a pointspread loss.
NORTH TEXAS (20-11 SU, 13-11 ATS, 11-13 O/U): The Mean Green has the division's best backcourt and can shoot the trey with anyone.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-4
Home Underdog:2-1
Away Favorite:0-4
Away Underdog:4-1
Neutral Site:0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Mean Green was 4-0 ATS in non-conference games.
Sports Betting Angle: North Texas was 7-4 ATS after a pointspread win.
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (15-15 SU, 15-11 ATS, 8-18 O/U): Four regulars are back but none of them averaged in double figures last season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-5
Home Underdog:1-1
Away Favorite:1-0
Away Underdog:7-5
Neutral Site:2-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Ragin' Cajuns were 12-7 ATS in conference play.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 10-0 when UL-Lafayette was a favorite.
DENVER (11-19 SU, 16-12-1 ATS, 12-16-1 O/U): With no seniors and just one junior on the roster, clearly, Denver is building for next season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-2
Home Underdog:2-1
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:6-8-1
Neutral Site:1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Pioneers were 9-3 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Denver was 10-5 ATS after a pointspread victory.
ARKANSASSTATE (10-20 SU, 10-16 ATS, 15-11 O/U):
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-5
Home Underdog:1-1
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:5-9
Neutral Site:0-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Indians were 5-9 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: ArkansasState was 7-12 ATS in conference games.
LOUISIANA-MONROE (10-21 SU, 10-14-1 ATS, 9-15-1 O/U): The Red Wolveshave a new coach but the same personnel problems as last season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:1-3-1
Home Underdog:0-3
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:8-7
Neutral Site:1-0
Sportsbook Buster: The Red Wolves were 1-7-1 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: UL-Monroe 5-10-1 ATS after a SU defeat.
NEW ORLEANS (19-13 SU, 12-14 ATS, 16-10 O/U): The return of only one starter and eight newcomers suggest there'll be some growing pains.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-6
Home Underdog:0-2
Away Favorite:0-2
Away Underdog:8-2
Neutral Site:2-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Privateers were 2-8 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: New Orleans was 8-2 as an away underdog.