College Basketball Betting - Analyzing the Mid-American Conference
February 12, 2009
All seven teams that had a losing straight up won/lost record also were unsuccessful against the pointspread last season, a trend that college basketball betting followers will be watching again this year. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:
EAST DIVISION
KENTSTATE (28-7 SU, 17-12-1 ATS, 14-14-2 O/U): MAC Player of the Year Al Fisher (13.9 PPG) leads the attack but the Flashes need players to emerge in the paint to stay in front.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-3-1
Home Underdog:0-0
Away Favorite:4-4
Away Underdog:3-2
Neutral Site:3-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Flashes were 14-9-1 as a favorite last season.
Sports Betting Angle: KentState was 11-7-1 ATS in MAC contests last season.
MIAMI (17-16 SU, 17-15 ATS, 18-13-1 O/U): Three starters return, including Michael Bramos (16.3 PPG), making the ‘Hawks MAC contenders.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:5-5
Home Underdog:1-0
Away Favorite:3-3
Away Underdog:3-5
Neutral Site:5-1
Sportsbook Buster: The RedHawks were 5-1 ATS on one day or less rest.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-7 when Miami was a favorite.
BOWLING GREEN (13-17 SU, 12-16-1 ATS, 11-18 O/U): The Falcons return everyone of consequence but must improve their shooting to contend.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:3-3
Home Underdog:3-3
Away Favorite:1-0
Away Underdog:4-7-1
Neutral Site:1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Falcons were 6-10-1 ATS in conference games.
Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 14-7 when Bowling Green was an underdog.
OHIO (20-13 SU, 15-15 ATS, 13-16-1 O/U): OhioState assistant John Groce inherits a team that lost three of its top four scorers.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite: 10-4
Home Underdog:2-3
Away Favorite:2-3
Away Underdog:3-3
Neutral Site:0-5
Sportsbook Buster: The Bobcats were 10-4 as home favorites.
Sports Betting Angle: Ohio was 4-9 ATS in games following a pointspread loss.
AKRON (24-11 SU, 18-13 ATS, 15-15-1 O/U): The Zips won 50 games the past two years but, with six newcomers, begin the rebuilding process.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:7-6
Home Underdog:0-0
Away Favorite:4-1
Away Underdog:5-2
Neutral site:2-4
Sportsbook Buster: The Zips were 9-3 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: Akron was 12-7 ATS in MAC games.
BUFFALO (10-20 SU, 13-16 ATS, 15-14 O/U): Five starters return but is that a good thing when you win just 10 games and go 3-13 in the MAC?
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-2
Home Underdog:2-5
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:4-8
Neutral Site:3-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Bulls were 8-13 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-6 in Buffalo's MAC games.
WEST DIVISION
WESTERN MICHIGAN (20-12 SU, 16-13-1 ATS, 14-16 O/U): Four starters are back, including David Kool (16.3 PPG) but C Joe Reitz (15.0 PPG, 7.9 RPG) will be missed.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:6-3
Home Underdog:2-0
Away Favorite:4-4-1
Away Underdog:3-3
Neutral Site:1-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Broncos were 8-3 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: Western Michigan was 11-7 ATS in conference play.
EASTERN MICHIGAN (14-17 SU, 13-15 ATS, 14-13-1 O/U): Carlos Medlock (14.8 PPG) and Justin Dobbins (10.2 PPG) should lead an EMU resurgence.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-4
Home Underdog:3-1
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:5-7
Neutral Site:1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Eagles were 5-8 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 8-3-1 when EMU played at home.
TOLEDO (11-19 SU, 13-16 ATS, 13-16 O/U): New Coach Gene Cross looks for immediate improvement with an interesting cast of holdovers and newcomers.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:4-2
Home Underdog:3-2
Away Favorite:0-1
Away Underdog:5-10
Neutral Site:1-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Rockets were 8-13 as an underdog.
Sports Betting Angle: Toledo was 3-8 ATS after a SU victory.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN (14-17 SU, 12-16-1 ATS, 18-11 O/U): With inexperience at the point and the loss of several big men, the Chippewas could have a tough campaign.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-4-1
Home Underdog:2-1
Away Favorite:1-2
Away Underdog:6-7
Neutral Site:1-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Chippewas were 2-8-1 ATS after a pointspread victory.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 11-6 when Central Michigan was an underdog.
BALLSTATE (6-24 SU, 11-17-1 ATS, 13-16 O/U): Anthony Newell (16.9 PPG) will be surrounded by seven new Cardinals so it looks like another difficult season.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:2-3
Home Underdog:2-7
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:7-6-1
Neutral Site:0-1
Sportsbook Buster: The Cardinals were 4-10 ATS at home.
Sports Betting Angle: BallState was 9-14-1 as an underdog.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS (6-22 SU, 13-13 ATS, 16-10 O/U): Eight newcomers join MAC 2008 Freshman of the Year Darion Anderson on a team that is still a couple of years away.
By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)
Home Favorite:1-2
Home Underdog:4-3
Away Favorite:0-0
Away Underdog:8-5
Neutral Site:0-3
Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 8-5 ATS on the road.
Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 10-3 when Northern Illinois was on the road.