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Betting the Big East Conference

October 30, 2009

Despite it reputation as the nation's deepest and toughest conference, Big East teams were nine games under .500 ATS versus non conference foes last season, a statistic that college basketball betting fans will be eyeing this year. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2008/09 season are in parentheses:

 

VILLANOVA (30-8 SU, 19-15 ATS, 17-16-1 O/U): Strong guards and a top five recruiting class have the Wildcats eyeing a return to the Final Four this season.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  7-5

Home Underdog:  1-0

Away Favorite:  4-2

Away Underdog:  3-2

Neutral Site:   4-6

Sportsbook Buster: The Wildcats were 7-4 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 14-6-1 in Villanova conference games.

 

LOUISVILLE (31-6 SU, 22-15 ATS, 18-19 O/U): The Cardinals can shoot the trey and have an emerging star in the paint in Samardo Samuels (11.8 PPG).

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  10-8

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  5-1

Away Underdog:  3-0

Neutral site:   4-6

Sportsbook Buster: The Cardinals are 19-3 ATS on the road the last two seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Louisville was 16-5 ATS in conference games.

 

WEST VIRGINIA (23-12 SU, 15-17 ATS, 12-20 O/U): Da'Sean Butler (17.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG) and Devn Ebanks (10.5 PPG, 7.8 RPG) give the Mountaineers two of the league's top two players.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  6-5

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-4

Away Underdog:  2-2

Neutral Site:   3-5

Sportsbook Buster: The Mountaineers were 4-7 ATS in non-conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 15-6 in UWV conference games.

 

CONNECTICUT (31-5 SU, 17-15 ATS, 12-19-1 O/U): The Huskies lost a lot but still have a lot with all-star candidates Stanley Robinson (8.5 PPG), Kemba Walker (8.9 PPG) and Jerome Dyson (13.2 PPG).

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-8

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-3

Away Underdog:  3-1

Neutral Site:   7-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies were 4-8 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 13-6 in UConn conference games.

 

NOTRE DAME (21-15 SU, 12-19 ATS, 12-18 O/U): Luke Harangody (23.3 PPG, 11.8 RPG) and the Irish will be back in the tournament if the 3-point shooters do their job.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-6

Home Underdog:  1-2

Away Favorite:  1-3

Away Underdog:  2-5

Neutral Site:   3-4

Sportsbook Buster: The Irish were 3-8 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Notre Dame was 7-13 ATS in conference play.

 

GEORGETOWN (16-15 SU, 9-17-1 ATS, 13-14 O/U): Greg Monroe (12.7 PPG, 6.5 RPG), Chris Wright (12.5 PPG) and Austin Freeman (11.4 PPG) give the Hoyas a solid nucleus.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-7

Home Underdog:  0-1

Away Favorite:  1-3

Away Underdog:  3-3-1

Neutral Site:   1-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Hoyas were 4-15 ATS in Big East games.

Sports Betting Angle: Georgetown was 2-10-1 ATS on two or fewer days rest.

 

PITTSBURGH (31-5 SU, 17-13 ATS, 15-15 O/U): The three best players from last season's elite eight team are gone so expect the Panthers to take a step back this year.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  9-4

Home Underdog:  3-3

Away Favorite:  3-3

Away Underdog:  2-1

Neutral Site:   2-5

Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers are 16-8 ATS at home the last two years.

Sports Betting Angle: Pittsburgh was 3-1 ATS in games after a SU loss.

 

SYRACUSE (28-10 SU, 19-15 ATS, 22-12 O/U): The Orange has some bangers in the paint but quality guard play is a concern for this pre-season bubble team.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  7-7

Home Underdog:  2-0

Away Favorite:  2-1

Away Underdog:  2-5

Neutral Site:   6-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Orange was 9-2 ATS in tournament play.

Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 15-7 in Syracuse's Big East games.

 

SETON HALL (17-15 SU, 17-10 ATS, 12-14 O/U): The Pirates have the guns in Jeremy Hazell (22.7 PPG) and Robert Mitchell (14.6 PPG) but need to show cohesiveness to improve.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  3-2

Home Underdog:  3-3

Away Favorite:  1-1

Away Underdog:  6-2

Neutral Site:   4-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Pirates were 11-7 as underdogs.

Sports Betting Angle: Seton Hall was 13-7 ATS in Big East games.

 

MARQUETTE (25-10 SU, 14-15-1 ATS, 15-15 O/U): The loss of a trio of guards who averaged over 49 points per game last season could have the Golden Eagles scrapping for wins.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-7-1

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-2

Away Underdog:  3-3

Neutral Site:   3-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Eagles were 2-6-1 ATS in games after a SU loss.

Sports Betting Angle: Marquette was 3-6-1 ATS in non-conference games.

 

CINCINNATI (18-14 SU, 11-15 ATS, 14-11-1 O/U): Deonata Vaughn (15.3 PPG) and a deep roster should give the Bearcats a shot at a 20-win season.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-3

Home Underdog:  3-3

Away Favorite:  1-1

Away Underdog:  2-6

Neutral Site:   1-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Bearcats were 3-7 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: The "over" was 9-3-1 when Cincinnati played at home.

 

ST. JOHN'S (16-18 SU, 13-15-1 ATS, 13-15-1 O/U): All five starters return but are they good enough for the Red Storm to sneak into the upper half of the conference?

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  5-2-1

Home Underdog:  4-3

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  2-9

Neutral Site:   2-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Red Storm was 9-5-1 ATS at home but 2-9 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: St. John's was 7-13 as an underdog.

 

RUTGERS (11-21 SU, 13-13 ATS, 9-15 O/U): Mike Rosario (16.2 PPG as a frosh) is a comer but the Scarlet Knights will have to improve just to reach .500.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-4

Home Underdog:  2-4

Away Favorite:  1-0

Away Underdog:  7-4

Neutral Site:   1-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Scarlet Knights are 3-10 as favorites the last two seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: The "under" was 12-7 in Rutgers conference games.

 

SOUTH FLORIDA (9-22 SU, 16-14 ATS, 13-17 O/U): Guard Dominique Jones (18.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG) is the best player you don't know but he doesn't have much help.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-1

Home Underdog:  3-5

Away Favorite:  0-1

Away Underdog:  8-4

Neutral Site:   1-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Bulls were 8-4 as away underdogs.

Sports Betting Angle: SFU was 6-3 ATS in games after a SU victory.

 

PROVIDENCE (19-14 SU, 11-18 ATS, 16-13 O/U): With six freshmen and just two seniors on the roster, The Friars are starting over…again.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-7

Home Underdog:  1-2

Away Favorite:  3-0

Away Underdog:  2-5

Neutral Site:   3-6

Sportsbook Buster: The Friars were 3-10 as underdogs.

Sports Betting Angle: Providence was 4-9 ATS on three or more days rest.

 

DE PAUL (9-24 SU, 10-18 ATS, 14-12-2 O/U): The Blue Demons were 0-18 in the conference last season and this year doesn't look much better.

By the Numbers (2008/09 Season)

Home Favorite:  0-4

Home Underdog:  1-6

Away Favorite:  1-0

Away Underdog:  8-3

Neutral Site:   1-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Blue Demons are 2-11 as home underdogs the past two seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: DePaul was 7-3 ATS in games after a SU win.

 

 

This is the fourth of 11 NCAA basketball betting previews.

Next: Handicapping the SEC

 

 


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