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College Football Betting: Analyzing the Mid-America Conference

August 7, 2008

The MAC has been traditionally weak out of conference, finishing 23-28-1 ATS last year and 153-177-6 ATS over the last eight years. Teams are listed in predicted order of finish with 2007 records, returning starters (RS)—-including kickers--and returning lettermen (RL) in parentheses:

 

East

BOWLING GREEN (8-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 17 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  57-39

ATS: 43-46-2

HF:  12-15-2

HD:   6-2

AF:  10-11

AD:  13-15

Sportsbook Buster: The Falcons are 6-2 as a home underdog, since 2000.

Sports Betting Angle: Bowling Green has covered eight of its last nine games against Ohio University.

 

MIAMI (6-7 SU, 6-6-1 ATS, 17 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  56-42

ATS: 52-44-1

HF:  16-12-1

HD:   5-4

AF:  13-11

AD:  17-13

Sportsbook Buster: The Redhawks are 30-22-1 ATS coming off a SU victory.

Sports Betting Angle: Miami has covered seven of its last eight encounters with Bowling Green.

 

BUFFALO (5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS, 18 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  17-75

ATS: 45-44-1

HF:   2-0-1

HD:  19-17

AF:   0-0

AD:  23-26

Sportsbook Buster: The Bulls are 6-0 ATS the week after allowing more than 21 points.

Sports Betting Angle: Buffalo has covered six straight against Miami (3-0) and Bowling Green (3-0).

 

KENT STATE (3-9 SU, 2-9 ATS, 16 RS, 43 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  30-62

ATS: 36-47-1

HF:   4-10

HD:   8-11

AF:   3-7

AD:  21-17-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Golden Flashes are just 7-17 as favorites the last eight years.

Sports Betting Angle: Kent State has covered four of its last five games with Ohio University.

 

TEMPLE (4-8 SU, 7-5 ATS, 22 RS, 53 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  20-72

ATS: 47-41-1

HF:   4-4

HD:  17-16

AF:   2-2

AD:  23-18-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Owls are 6-1 ATS following back-to-back road games.

Sports Betting Angle: Temple has covered its last four meetings with Connecticut.

 

OHIO (6-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 13 RS, 68 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  37-57

ATS: 40-47-1

HF:  11-9

HD:   8-6

AF:   5-9

AD:  15-20-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Bobcats are only 20-29-1 ATS on the road the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Ohio University has covered three of its last four games against Buffalo.

 

AKRON (4-8 SU, 6-5-1 ATS, 13 RS, 45 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  43-51

ATS: 43-46-2

HF:   8-14

HD:  10-5

AF:   5-8

AD:  18-18-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Zips are 10-5 as home underdogs over the past eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Akron has covered four of its last five trips to Kent State.

 

West

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (8-6 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 16 RS, 45 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  40-56

ATS: 45-42-3

HF:   9-7

HD:  11-8-1

AF:   8-4-1

AD:  13-22-1

Sportsbook Buster: Over the last eight seasons, the Chippewas are 13-22-1 as road underdogs.

Sports Betting Angle: Central Michigan has covered nine of its last 10 MAC openers.

 

BALL STATE (7-6 SU, 7-5 ATS, 18 RS, 41 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  38-55

ATS: 47-39-1

HF:  10-5

HD:  10-10

AF:   4-5

AD:  23-18-1

Sportsbook Buster: Since the start of the 2000 season, the Cardinals are 10-5 as a home favorite.

Sports Betting Angle: Ball State has covered six straight against Toledo (3-0) and Eastern Michigan (3-0).

 

WESTERN MICHIGAN (5-7 SU, 3-7-1 ATS, 17 RS, 34 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  44-50

ATS: 40-46-1

HF:  11-9

HD:   3-11-1

AF:   7-9

AD:  17-15

Sportsbook Buster: The Broncos are just 3-11-1 as home underdogs the past eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Western Michigan is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games against Central Michigan.

 

NORTHERN ILLINOIS (2-10 SU, 5-6 ATS, 21 RS, 55 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  55-40

ATS: 48-39

HF:  12-14

HD:   9-2

AF:  13-10

AD:  13-10

Sportsbook Buster: The Huskies are an outstanding 9-2 as a home underdog, the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Northern Illinois has covered six in a row after a week off.

 

TOLEDO (5-7 SU, 4-7 ATS, 15 RS, 50 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  65-33

ATS: 47-41-3

HF:  22-11

HD:   6-1

AF:   8-11-1

AD:   8-15-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Rockets are 28-12 ATS at home but 16-26-3 ATS on the road, the last eight seasons.

Sports Betting Angle: Toledo has covered eight of its last nine games against Northern Illinois.

 

EASTERN MICHIGAN (4-8 SU, 4-7 ATS, 15 RS, 46 RL)

By the Numbers (2000-2007)

SU:  24-68

ATS: 38-45-1

HF:   5-4

HD:  10-13-1

AF:   1-1

AD:  21-24

Sportsbook Buster: The Eagles have covered five straight against Akron.

Sports Betting Angle: Eastern Michigan is a combined 9-3 ATS their last dozen games against Bowling Green (3-1), Western Michigan (3-1) and Central Michigan (3—1).

 

 

Legend:

SU  = Straight Up                        

ATS = Against the Spread                 

HF  = Home Favorite

HD  = Home Underdog

AF  = Away Favorite

AD  = Away Underdog

 

This is the 10th installment of an 11-part preview series.

Next: College Football Betting: Analyzing the Sunbelt Conference and Independents.


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