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College Basketball Betting: Analyzing the Western Athletic Conference

November 7, 2008

College basketball betting followers did well going against the WAC in one-conference games (33-57-2 ATS) and will be watching that trend this year. Straight up (SU), against the spread (ATS), and over/under (O/U) records for the 2007/08 season are in parentheses:

 

NEVADA (21-12 SU, 16-16 ATS, 18-14 O/U): Size is lacking but the Pack has enough to earn at least a share of the WAC title for the sixth consecutive season.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  8-7

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  5-1

Away Underdog:  3-7

Neutral Site:   0-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Wolf Pack was 3-7 as an underdog last season.

Sports Betting Angle: The “over” was 11-4 when Nevada was a home favorite last season.

 

UTAH STATE (24-11 SU, 16-14 ATS, 20-10 O/U): Gary Wilkinson (13.3 PPG, 7.0 RPG) is the only senior but the Aggies still have enough talent to contend.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  9-4

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  1-3

Away Underdog:  4-5

Neutral site:   2-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 9-4 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: Utah State was 10-5 ATS when playing on three or more days rest.

 

NEW MEXICO STATE (21-14 SU, 15-15-1 ATS, 18-13 O/U): Four senior starters are gone but Herb Pope (11.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG as a frosh) should help keep the Aggies in the title hunt.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite: 10-6

Home Underdog:  0-0

Away Favorite:  3-2

Away Underdog:  2-5-1

Neutral Site:   0-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Aggies were 12-7 ATS in conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: New Mexico State was 2-7-1 as an underdog.

 

BOISE STATE (25-9 SU, 15-12-1 ATS, 18-9-1 O/U): Four starters are gone from last season’s 25-win NCAA Tournament team so the Broncos probably will take s step back.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-7

Home Underdog:  1-1

Away Favorite:  3-1-1

Away Underdog:  6-1

Neutral Site:   1-2

Sportsbook Buster: The Broncos were 9-2-1 ATS on the road.

Sports Betting Angle: Boise State was 12-6-1 ATS in conference play.

 

SAN JOSE STATE (13-19 SU, 10-18 ATS, 16-12 O/U): The top five scorers, including C.J. Webster (21.6 PPG, 14.0 RPG), return so SJS is looking at a winning season.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  0-3

Home Underdog:  4-3

Away Favorite:  0-1

Away Underdog:  5-8

Neutral Site:   1-3

Sportsbook Buster: The Spartans were 6-12 ATS in WAC play.

Sports Betting Angle: San Jose State was 3-12 ATS in games after a SU defeat.

 

LOUISIANA TECH (6-24 SU, 14-11-1 ATS, 14-12 O/U): Kyle Gibson (16.5 PPG) will get help from a trio of transfers on a much-improved team.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-1

Home Underdog:  3-4-1

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  6-5

Neutral Site:   3-1

Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs 11-5-1 ATS in conference games.

Sports Betting Angle: Louisiana Tech was 12-7-1 ATS in games following a SU loss.

 

HAWAII (11-19 SU, 9-18 ATS, 12-14-1 O/U): Seven seniors have departed from a team that wasn’t very good last year and will struggle again this season.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-8

Home Underdog:  2-3

Away Favorite:  0-2

Away Underdog:  4-5

Neutral Site:   1-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Warriors were 2-10 as favorites.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 11-4 when Hawaii played at home.

 

FRESNO STATE (13-19 SU, 8-19 ATS, 15-12 O/U): The departure of three starters and the loss of an equal amount of scholarships for poor academic numbers won’t help the Bulldogs.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  4-8

Home Underdog:  0-3

Away Favorite:  1-2

Away Underdog:  2-6

Neutral Site:   1-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Bulldogs were 4-13 ATS in Conference play.

Sports Betting Angle: Fresno State was 3-9 as an underdog.

 

IDAHO (8-21 SU, 10-13-1 ATS, 12-12 O/U): Five of the top six scorers are history which should make Don Verlin’s first year in Moscow a chilly one.

By the Numbers (2007/08 Season)

Home Favorite:  2-3

Home Underdog:  1-4

Away Favorite:  0-0

Away Underdog:  7-6-1

Neutral Site:   0-0

Sportsbook Buster: The Vandals were 3-7 ATS at home.

Sports Betting Angle: The “under” was 9-5 when Idaho was on the road.


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